Retiring When's Musings
Wednesday, August 13, 2025
Tuesday, July 29, 2025
Friday, July 25, 2025
Alternate view of the VCCM June 2025 Data using a Candlestick chart
This is a chart using the VCCM 5/25/50/75/95 percentile data to see the ranges of the various asset classes.
This represents the 10 year horizon data found here: Vanguard Capital Markets Model® forecasts
The High/Low (narrow vertical line) represent the range of the 5th to 95th percentile.
The open/close (the range of the box in the middle) represents the range of the 25th to 75th percentile.
I think this give a pretty nice look at the range of their estimates and may be more useful to see the "expected outcomes" the meat of the 50% in the middle seems like a reasonable path.
Thursday, July 10, 2025
Sunday, June 29, 2025
Saturday, June 28, 2025
Tuesday, June 3, 2025
SIFMA vs. FTEXX 1-day yields
Interesting look at the SIFMA index in relation to the FTEXX one-day yields. The interesting thing is that the SIFMA index appears to be a lagging indicator, not a leading indicator. It appears that the FTEXX yields adjust before the index updates. The index reflects market movements not leads them.